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Cambodia Power Report Q1 2013

Cambodia Power Report Q1 2013

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Additional Information

Price	$1,175.00
Publisher	Business Monitor International
Date of Report	Sep 1, 2013

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Quick Overview

BMI View: The major players in Asian power supply are clamouring to invest in Cambodia, with the
result that huge capacity expansion can be expected from around 2015, as hydro, gas and coal-based
schemes are introduced. This should leave the country with plentiful spare generation, even if annual
electricity consumption grows at an average rate of 13.2% per annum over our 10-year forecast period to
2021. Neighbouring Vietnam, which will finance a number of power projects, plans to make good use of
Cambodia's potential export capability, as does Thailand if a major coal-fired scheme comes to fruition.
Hydropower expansion is already under way and there is a long queue of potential projects with strong
regional backing. Several are set to proceed, with a surge in hydro-based supply likely from around 2016.
Domestic gas resources could contribute additional capacity, while the utilisation of renewables is set to
rise rapidly from a low base. New coal-fired stations are also in the planning stage, with Cambodia open
to the long-term possibility of nuclear energy.
Key trends and developments in the Cambodian electricity market:
?? Cambodia's Royal Group and China's Hydrolancang were given the go-ahead in November
2012 to commence construction on the Lower Se San 2 hydropwer plant. The design and
construction of the project will see electricity exported to Vietnam. The project is expected to be
completed in 5 years, in the latter stages of 2017.
?? During the period 2012-2021, Cambodia's overall power generation is expected to increase by
an annual average of 24.0%, reaching 10.7TWh. Driving this growth is a new gas-fired scheme
that is in the pipeline and should enter service during the forecast period, as well as a massive
hydropower expansion programme that includes several dams with capacities exceeding
100MW.
?? Following anticipated real GDP growth of 4.8% in 2012, BMI forecasts average annual growth
of 6.6% between 2012 and 2021. The population is expected to rise from the 2012 level of
14.5mn to 16.1mn during the period to 2021, and net power consumption looks set to increase
from 2.49TWh in 2012 to 7.69TWh by 2021. During the period 2012-2021, the average annual
growth rate for electricity demand is forecast at 13.2%.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View ........................................................................................................................................... 5
SWOT Analysis ................................................................................................................................................ 6
Cambodia Power SWOT ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
Regional Industry Overview ............................................................................................................................ 7
Table: Vietnam's Power Development Roadmap ................................................................................................................................................ 10
Industry Forecast Scenario ........................................................................................................................... 11
Cambodia Snapshot (Macro) ................................................................................................................................................................................... 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data ............................................................................................................................. 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector ............................................................................................................................................................. 11
Cambodia Forecast Scenario ................................................................................................................................................................................... 12
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity..................................................................................................................................... 12
Table: Cambodia Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 .............................................................................................. 12
Table: Cambodia Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 ........................................................................................... 13
Table: Cambodia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 ........................................................................................ 15
Table: Cambodia Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021...................................................................................... 16
Electricity Consumption...................................................................................................................................................................................... 21
Table: Cambodia Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 ........................................................................................... 21
Table: Cambodia Total Electricity Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 ........................................................................................ 21
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports ............................................................................................................................................... 22
Table: Cambodia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 ..................................................... 22
Table: Cambodia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 ................................................... 23
Table: Cambodia Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 ................................................................................................................................ 23
Table: Cambodia Trade Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021.............................................................................................................................. 23
Key Policies/Market Structure ...................................................................................................................... 25
Regulation and Competition ............................................................................................................................................................................... 25
Pricing ................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 26
Key Projects Database ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 27
Table: Cambodia Major Projects - Power .......................................................................................................................................................... 27
Power Risk/Reward Ratings .......................................................................................................................... 29
Asia Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings ............................................................................................................................................................. 29
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings ............................................................................................................................................................ 33
Cambodia's Power Risk/Reward Ratings ................................................................................................................................................................ 33
Rewards .............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 33
Risks ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 34
Competitive Landscape/Company Monitor ................................................................................................. 35
Glossary of Terms ......................................................................................................................................... 37
Table: Glossary of Terms .................................................................................................................................................................................... 37
Methodology And Sources ............................................................................................................................ 38
Industry Forecasts ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 38
Power Industry - Data Methodology ................................................................................................................................................................... 39
Generation and Consumption Data .................................................................................................................................................................... 39
Electricity Generation Capacity Data ................................................................................................................................................................. 40
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology ............................................................................................................................................................... 40
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators ................................................................................................................................................................ 42
Sources ............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 44